George Hosfield, CFA, discusses Ferguson Wellman's quarterly strategy titled, "Inflation's Flame Flickers," which addresses the narrow market leadership, the impact of higher interest rates on inflation and how assets are priced at this stage of the economic cycle.
George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the firm's quarterly strategy titled "Stalemate," which highlights the Fed's ongoing battle to tame inflation along with our views on the health of the banking industry and capital market expectations for the balance of the year.
Director and Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the Fed raising interest rates, peaking inflation and our view on equities and volatility across all asset classes in our Investment Strategy titled, “Balancing Act.”
U.S. markets have begun the third quarter with positive returns, erasing some of the losses that occurred in the first half of the year. Specifically, the market has recouped about one-fourth of the year-to-date loss in stock prices. It remains to be seen how long this rally will last, but there have been a couple of positive developments, despite a palpable slowing in economic growth.
Wealth Management Chair Mary Lago, CFP®, CTFA, discusses strategies to maximize the most of your benefits from private insurance options to Social Security and Medicare.
For those with many years before retirement, social security appears to be a straightforward arrangement: once you retire, you will receive a monthly check for the rest of your life. However, there are several complexities to be aware of as you approach retirement. For example, the timing of when you begin to take benefits can greatly alter the size of your benefits. The options you choose are impactful, and importantly, are mostly irrevocable. Carefully reviewing your options beforehand can ensure that you put yourself in the best position to maximize benefits.
Years ago, a market technician compared the markets to a car windshield. In this analogy, an investor is in the driver’s seat looking out for future obstacles or opportunities in the “road” ahead, such as discounting future earnings, economic data or signs of a recession. However, as any good driver knows, the rearview mirror is also in view, giving us a glimpse of what recently passed.
Today the employment data for the month of June was released and was stronger than analysts’ expectations. Nonfarm payrolls increased 372,000 in the month of June, well above the estimate of 265,000. In addition, average hourly earnings growth moderated on a month-to-month basis, which should help the inflationary pressures in the economy.
Read our third quarter 2022 Wealth Management Insights publication in which Mary Lago, CFP®, CTFA, Charissa Anderson, CFP®, CDFA®, and Casia Chappell, CFP®, CPWA® share their thoughts on life insurance ownership, social security spousal benefits and long-term care insurance.
Read our Market Letter publication for the third quarter 2022 titled, Balancing Act, in which George Hosfield, CFA, Dean Dordevic and Brad Houle, CFA, share our thoughts on inflation, interest rates, recession risk and how to position portfolios in this environment.
Director and Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the Fed raising interest rates, peaking inflation and our view on equities and volatility across all asset classes in our Investment Strategy titled, “Balancing Act.”
This year, investors have wrestled with several paradoxical headlines: rising inflation, a tighter Fed, possible recession, a strong labor market and a healthy consumer. Unfortunately, the paranoia caused by these reports continues as markets wrapped up the first six months of 2022 with the S&P 500 down 20%, resulting in the worst start of the year since 1970.
Jason Norris, CFA, was interviewed on Boise Public Radio about the Idaho economy and recent market activity.
While it was a relatively quiet week of macroeconomic news, investors are still busy making sense of the inflation and interest rate paradox: that is, inflation stoking recession fears, but also rising rates to combat inflation also stoking recession fears.
Earlier this week, the Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate to 1.75%, an increase of 0.75% from the previous rate. This increase, the largest since 1994, was considered a possibility, albeit one the market hadn’t fully discounted.
Markets sold off this week, and dramatically on Friday, as new inflation data showed price increases reaccelerated in May. This morning, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is the most well-known measure of inflation, increased 1.0% in the month of May and increased 8.6% compared to the year-ago period. This number marks a new 41-year high for inflation.
Paul Volcker assumed the chairmanship of the Federal Reserve in August of 1979 and within a year, had raised the target federal funds rate to an eye-popping 20%. This painful but necessary action broke the back of inflation which had run rampant for the prior decade.
As new parents, my wife and I have been experiencing the ongoing formula shortage firsthand as we prepare for our little one to start daycare in June. The search for formula reminds me of the early days of the pandemic when life turned into a competitive “treasure hunt” due to supply constraints and a drastic change in consumer demand.
Casia Chappell, CFP®, CPWA®, discusses 529 college savings plans and their details that oftentimes confuse savers and students and how to best utilize these plans.
Over the past week the S&P 500 declined nearly 3% on persistent fears of inflation exacerbated by negative earnings reports from Walmart and Target, both of which were impacted by unexpected cost inflation. For the year-to-date, the S&P 500 has declined more than 17%. The good news from the week is that bonds have started to act more like bonds due to declining interest rates and a volatile equities market.
Amid growing investor pessimism, for the first time in more than two decades, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has now declined for seven consecutive weeks. Similarly, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ have dropped for six straight weeks … the first time since 2011 and 2012, respectively. Given the material correction we have witnessed across most asset classes, we think it timely to share our current market outlook.
If you have college bound children or grandchildren, you are likely aware of the benefits of 529 accounts, which include but are not limited to tax-free growth of investments, tax-free withdrawals when funds are used for qualified education expenses, potential state income tax benefits, expanded gifting options with superfunding and the flexibility for the owner to transfer funds to family members.
In the second quarter 2022 Wealth Management Insights video, Mary Lago, CFP®, CTFA, discusses the importance of account ownership and beneficiary designations when planning wealth transitions.
