George Hosfield, CFA, discusses Ferguson Wellman's quarterly strategy titled, "Inflation's Flame Flickers," which addresses the narrow market leadership, the impact of higher interest rates on inflation and how assets are priced at this stage of the economic cycle.
George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the firm's quarterly strategy titled "Stalemate," which highlights the Fed's ongoing battle to tame inflation along with our views on the health of the banking industry and capital market expectations for the balance of the year.
Director and Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the Fed raising interest rates, peaking inflation and our view on equities and volatility across all asset classes in our Investment Strategy titled, “Balancing Act.”
Many people believe the world’s largest and most important economy is on the brink of default. Indeed, politicians generally do a disservice by pushing their agenda until the last minute and then lose the trust of their constituents and investors. However, negotiations on the debt ceiling have improved over the last few days and the risk of default has decreased.
According to headlines and news pundits, it is a near certainty that the U.S. is very close to entering a recession (reminder: economists have successfully predicted nine of the last five recessions). Despite this, to date, the S&P 500 has posted a positive return of about 9% this year.
We recently wrote about strategies for funding education needs in our wealth management Insights Newsletter. Occasionally, we learn that a client has successfully saved and built wealth for education inside a tax-advantaged 529 education savings plan, only to find themselves with funds left over. Luckily, there is good news – your savings aren’t trapped. There are several options for transferring or withdrawing funds from a 529 plan when they are no longer needed for the current beneficiary’s education.
Inflation has been the most watched economic data point for the past two years. On Wednesday, we received inflation data for the month of April. The headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 0.4% compared to the prior month and 4.9% compared to the year-ago period. 4.9% compares to economist expectations for an increase of 5.0%, equal to the 5.0% increase seen in March.
A bank failure, a rate hike and a surprisingly strong jobs number all led to volatile equity markets this week, with negative returns led by energy stocks and regional banks. We’ll first discuss the takeover of First Republic bank, then the effect of the Fed’s actions mid-week. Finally, we’ll hit on the employment numbers for April.
“How do you go bankrupt? Two ways. Gradually, then suddenly.” -Ernest Hemingway
As of this writing, there are expectations that First Republic Bank may not survive the weekend. However, we believe that First Republic’s issues are not systemic across the industry. Unlike 2008, these issues with First Republic, as they were with Silicon Valley Bank, are not credit related. Rather, it was the issues that were part of their business model, which played out as Hemingway stated in “The Sun Also Rises.”
Collaborative planning for care needs can reduce family stress and ensure our housing, financial management, legal arrangements and healthcare is consistent with our personal preferences. In this quarter’s Wealth Management Insights video, Mary Lago, CFP®, CTFA, shares common decision points and items we can address in advance.
Now that individual taxpayers have submitted their 2022 tax returns and Tax Day 2023 is in the rearview mirror, a largely self-made crisis surrounding raising the debt ceiling will begin to resonate through the halls of Congress, possibly lasting through the summer months.
Your wishes. Your legacy. Your plan. Your estate planning documents, whether a will or a trust, reflect your values and wishes relating to the distribution of your assets. While you, and your attorney, have carefully drafted language that reflects distribution wishes congruent with your goals, it is still left up to someone else to execute your plan.
This week marks the start of earnings season and investors are anxiously awaiting corporate guidance to shed light on the state of the economy. The first quarter of 2023 brought positive returns for both stocks and bonds, but we also saw the second and third largest bank failures in U.S. history. Mixed signals like this are difficult for investors to reconcile, however, this week was rich with economic data to set the stage for the second quarter of 2023.
Read our second quarter 2023 Wealth Management Insights titled, “Keeping Your Estate Planning and Education Funding on Track.”
George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the firm's quarterly strategy titled "Stalemate," which highlights the Fed's ongoing battle to tame inflation along with our views on the health of the banking industry and capital market expectations for the balance of the year.
In a 1981 interview, a skeptical Todd Koeppel questioned 26-year-old Steve Jobs about the dangers of using computers and whether they would eventually be able to control humans (aside from current social media addiction, not yet). Jobs proceeded to explain that the personal computer is the “bicycle of the 21st century” and referred to a study that measured the locomotion efficiency of various species.
As the first quarter of 2023 wrapped up this week, investors may be surprised to see both stocks and bonds with positive returns, given the ongoing stress within the banking industry and the signs that the Fed’s aggressive interest rate hikes are creating cracks within the economy.
The Federal Reserve's quarter-point rate hike fuels more recession speculation. Blaine Dickason, senior vice president, appeared on Sunrise on KGW News on Friday, March 21 and shared our perspective on what the rate increase may mean for you.
This week all eyes were on the Federal Reserve and Fed Chairman Powell as they had the challenge of continuing to fight inflation.
On December 29, 2022, Congress signed a piece of legislation called SECURE Act 2.0 of 2022. Compared to the SECURE Act 1.0 that was enacted in December of 2019, which contained 29 provisions and total government spending of $15 billion, the SECURE Act 2.0 contains 92 provisions and $1.7 trillion in spending. Both pieces of legislation were designed to promote retirement security, including attempts to lower barriers to entry for people looking to save, expand access to participation in employer retirement plans and allow for greater flexibility for Americans experiencing hardship.
One year ago this week, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates for the first time since the pandemic began. After two years of holding rates near zero, this first hike to combat rising inflation only raised the policy rate by a mere 0.25%.
Our colleague, Casia Chappell, CFP®, CPWA®, recently wrote a piece for the Spokane Journal of Business. In it, she discusses how donor-advised funds can help streamline strategic giving.
