George Hosfield, CFA, discusses Ferguson Wellman's quarterly strategy titled, "Inflation's Flame Flickers," which addresses the narrow market leadership, the impact of higher interest rates on inflation and how assets are priced at this stage of the economic cycle.
George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the firm's quarterly strategy titled "Stalemate," which highlights the Fed's ongoing battle to tame inflation along with our views on the health of the banking industry and capital market expectations for the balance of the year.
Director and Chief Investment Officer George Hosfield, CFA, discusses the Fed raising interest rates, peaking inflation and our view on equities and volatility across all asset classes in our Investment Strategy titled, “Balancing Act.”
Having already digested 90% of the S&P 500’s second quarter results, investors this week parsed earnings for the major retailers still left to report. Despite the likes of Home Depot and Wal-Mart continuing the recent trend of companies delivering better-than-expected earnings, the recent rise in longer-term bond yields is dampening investors’ enthusiasm for stocks.
The U.S. economy continues to defy one of the most anticipated recessions. Since January, investors and economists have been on edge as economic indicators started flashing red, particularly the purchasing managers index (PMI) and the leading economic indicators (LEI). Both metrics are closely watched as they have been reliable in foretelling downturns.
This year has been anything but straightforward for investors, and the most recent Fed minutes are prolonging this state of confusion. While we have seen some reduced inflation pressure in the last several weeks, the Fed minutes point out that “risks to inflation were weighted to the upside,” citing factors such as further supply chain disruptions, continued geopolitical turmoil and persistent real wage growth. For investors, the focus continues to surround the pace of Fed rate hikes for the remainder of the year.
All day and every day we are bombarded by economic, company and political news. And not just U.S. news, but global news as well. Even in normal times this can seem overwhelming, and especially so during a pandemic.
Most markets, international stocks and the U.S. Dollar ended the week near where they started. Stocks are quietly ending a strong first quarter, with this week leaving the S&P 500 up a little over 1 percent and the Dow Jones up about 0.5 percent.
