That a notable Silicon Valley bank failure could overshadow significant developments in the labor market is a testament to how attuned investors remain to the unpredictable consequences of the Fed’s ongoing campaign to raise interest rates.
Opportunity Costs
This week, a slew of economic reports, which included inflation data, employment figures and retail sales reports, continue to indicate that the Fed still has a way to go on its quest to tame inflation.
Exit Strategy
A year ago, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell famously said, “We’re not even thinking about thinking about raising rates.” At this week’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting the Fed took its first tangible steps to lay the groundwork for a gradual removal of the stimulus measures enacted last year.
The COVID Pandemic Turns One
This week marks the one-year anniversary of the World Health Organization declaring the COVID-19 virus a pandemic. Since then, we have seen the largest economy in the world locked down, a massive spike in unemployment and the shortest economic recession on record, quickly followed by double-digit GDP growth.
"The Bad News Won't Stop but the Markets Keep Rising"
“The Bad News Won’t Stop, but Markets Keep Rising,” read the headline of the business section of the NY Times this week. I have received many questions from many clients and friends over the past couple of weeks regarding this notion.