Both fear and greed were on full display this week as the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate 50 basis points and announced that additional 50 basis point increases would be needed in the future. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the U.S. government would stop buying as many bonds on the open market in the coming months, effectively shrinking the Fed’s balance sheet and removing some liquidity from the system.
Inflation and the Recovery
Inflation expectations are rising. Next month, we begin to lap the extraordinarily low inflation measured last year when the pandemic triggered a dramatic reduction of demand for both goods and services globally. Upcoming reports may be elevated when compared to last year’s weak results and we may see 3 to 4 percent increases in inflation this spring.