This week, Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell announced that later this month the Fed will begin “tapering” its asset purchase program now that the economy has moved past the need for extraordinary stimulus. As a reminder, to combat the recessionary effects of the pandemic and stimulate the economy, the Fed reduced interest rates to 0% and reintroduced an asset purchase program to the tune of $120 billion per month. By any measure, this is a remarkably large stimulus program.
Unscripted Inflation?
The aggressive fiscal and monetary response to the COVID-19 crisis has been unprecedented in terms of speed and magnitude. A common topic we receive from clients is about the risk of inflation as a result of the response to the crisis.